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Ceasefire Tested as Conflicting Signals Trail Hormuz Reopening

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Ceasefire Tested as Conflicting Signals Trail Hormuz Reopening

By Matthew Eloyi

Mixed signals from global powers have cast uncertainty over the status of the Strait of Hormuz, even as the United Nations cautiously welcomed Iran’s announcement that the critical oil route is open to commercial traffic.

UN Secretary-General António Guterres described the development as encouraging but stressed that more concrete steps are needed to guarantee lasting stability in the region.

According to his spokesperson, Stéphane Dujarric, the reopening of the strait during the ceasefire period could help reduce tensions, but falls short of the “full restoration of navigational rights and freedoms” long demanded by the international community.

The cautious tone from the UN reflects growing concern over contradictory positions from Washington and Tehran, which have left the true situation on the ground open to interpretation.

U.S. President Donald Trump acknowledged Iran’s declaration that the waterway is “fully open,” yet insisted that a blockade remains in force pending the completion of a broader U.S. objective he referred to as a “transaction” with Tehran.

On the other hand, Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi, maintained that the strait has been “completely open” in line with the ceasefire agreement, adding that the measure extends throughout the truce, including arrangements tied to Lebanon.

The conflicting narratives underscore the fragility of the ceasefire brokered by Pakistan following weeks of escalating hostilities. While Islamabad’s mediation helped bring both sides to the negotiating table, talks have so far failed to deliver a comprehensive peace deal.

At the heart of the impasse remains Iran’s nuclear programme, a longstanding point of contention that continues to derail diplomatic progress.

The situation is further complicated by recent military actions. In February, Trump announced “major combat operations” against Iran, including joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on key installations — a move that significantly heightened tensions and raised fears of a broader regional conflict.

Adding to the uncertainty, Trump has warned of a potential U.S.-imposed blockade on the Strait of Hormuz beginning April 13, a step that could once again disrupt one of the world’s most vital shipping lanes.

For now, the reopening of the strait offers a temporary reprieve. But with competing claims and unresolved disputes, the path to lasting peace — and secure global trade through Hormuz — remains far from certain.

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