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Identity Governance Has Changed: Control Must Now Be Proven, Not Assumed

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Identity Governance Has Changed: Control Must Now Be Proven, Not Assumed

By Professor Ojo Emmanuel Ademola

A New Reality in Identity Governance

If you have examined the state of identity governance over the past twelve to eighteen months, one conclusion is unavoidable: the landscape has fundamentally shifted. What once appeared manageable through structured provisioning, periodic access reviews, and compliance‑driven reporting has transformed into a far more volatile, complex, and risk‑dense environment. Identity governance has moved decisively from being a back‑office administrative function to becoming a frontline discipline essential to security, resilience, and organisational integrity.

A decade ago, platforms such as Usercube and GroupID provided meaningful solutions to the pressing challenges of their time. They brought order to the chaos of access lifecycle management, enforced role‑based controls, and helped organisations navigate audits with greater confidence. The problem statement then was clear and contained: too many manual processes, inconsistent approval chains, and insufficient visibility into who had access to what. These tools were built for that era, and they largely succeeded in stabilising identity operations.

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What has changed is not the intent of those systems, but the scale, velocity, and nature of identity risk itself. The assumptions that underpinned early identity governance frameworks no longer hold. The environment has outgrown the tools, the processes, and in many cases, the mindsets that once governed it.

The Explosion of Identities

Today’s enterprises operate in an identity‑saturated world. Cloud adoption, SaaS proliferation, automation pipelines, API‑driven architectures, and the rise of AI‑enabled agents have multiplied the number of identities at a rate that traditional governance programmes were never designed to absorb. Contemporary studies reveal that non‑human identities now outnumber human users by ratios ranging from 17:1 to well over 80:1 in large organisations. Each service account, bot, API key, and AI agent carries entitlements—often with elevated or persistent access—quietly expanding the attack surface.

This explosion is not merely quantitative; it is structural. Non‑human identities do not behave like employees. They do not join, move, or leave in predictable cycles. They are created programmatically, often without central oversight, and they accumulate privileges through automation rather than managerial intent. Their access paths are frequently opaque, their ownership ambiguous, and their risk profiles poorly understood.

The result is a governance environment where the majority of access risk now resides in identities that were never designed to be governed through human‑centred processes.

Access Paths Have Become Unbounded

The expansion of identities has been matched by an equally dramatic expansion in access pathways. Access is no longer linear or confined to well‑defined applications. It now spans hybrid cloud platforms, third‑party integrations, ephemeral workloads, data pipelines, microservices, and autonomous systems acting without direct human intervention.

Governance models that assume stable roles, predictable lifecycles, and periodic reviews are structurally misaligned with this reality. Identity risk is no longer accumulating through blatant misconfigurations or negligent administrators. It is accumulating through perfectly normal operational growth—growth that is dynamic, decentralised, and increasingly automated.

The traditional governance cycle of “provision, certify, revoke” has become too slow, too manual, and too detached from real‑time risk. Identity governance must now operate at the speed of the systems it seeks to control.

The Pressure to Prove Control

Regulatory and board‑level scrutiny has intensified sharply. Security leaders are no longer expected merely to assert that controls exist; they must prove, continuously, that access is appropriate, proportionate, and promptly revoked when risk changes. This shift from assumed control to demonstrable control is not theoretical. It is now a defining expectation of modern governance.

Research conducted among hundreds of identity and security leaders in 2025 and 2026 reveals a troubling perception gap. Executive dashboards frequently report high completion rates for provisioning tasks and access certifications, yet meaningful exposure persists beneath the surface. Activity metrics—such as the percentage of reviews completed—are being mistaken for indicators of risk reduction. They are not.

The uncomfortable statistics reinforce this point. More than 80 percent of modern cyberattacks now leverage identity‑based techniques, from credential theft and privilege abuse to token misuse and API exploitation. Over 40 percent of organisations report identity‑related breaches as severe events, often costing more than traditional perimeter‑based incidents. Yet fewer than one‑third of enterprises claim full visibility across their human and non‑human identities.

This combination—high impact, high likelihood, and low visibility—defines a governance crisis, not a tooling gap.

The Limits of Legacy Identity Governance

The truth is stark: identity governance has evolved faster than many of the platforms tasked with enforcing it. Early‑generation IGA tools were optimised for order, not observability; for certification workflows, not continuous risk intelligence. They asked managers to attest access quarterly or biannually, even as permissions shifted hourly through automation. They assumed ownership could be inferred from organisational charts, even as identities proliferated far beyond HR‑managed populations.

These tools were built for a world where identities were few, access paths were predictable, and change was slow. That world no longer exists. The modern enterprise operates in a state of perpetual flux, where identities are created, modified, and retired at machine speed. Automation pipelines generate entitlements without human oversight, cloud platforms introduce new access vectors daily, and AI agents make autonomous decisions that reshape privilege boundaries in real time. Legacy IGA systems, designed for static environments, cannot meaningfully interpret this dynamism. They provide administrative order but not operational truth. They record what should be happening, not what is actually happening. In an era defined by continuous change, governance must be grounded in continuous evidence.

A New Governance Posture Is Required

Modern identity risk demands a fundamentally different posture—one that is continuous, intelligence‑driven, and inclusive of all identity types.

First, governance must extend decisively beyond human users. Service accounts, workloads, pipelines, AI agents, and machine credentials must be governed with the same rigour as employees. Non‑human identity governance can no longer be delegated to DevOps conventions or tribal knowledge. It must be policy‑driven, auditable, and centrally visible.

Second, organisations must move from static reviews to continuous evidence. Proof of control must be derived from runtime data, behavioural patterns, and entitlement usage—not from point‑in‑time attestations that are outdated the moment they are completed.

Third, boards and regulators must be shown risk‑relevant metrics, not operational comfort indicators. Knowing that access reviews were completed on time is largely meaningless if excessive privileges remain untouched for months. What matters is how quickly high‑risk access is detected, challenged, reduced, and removed.

Identity governance is becoming inseparable from identity security analytics, and this convergence is irreversible.

Identity Debt: The Silent Liability

Leadership mindset must also shift. Identity risk is no longer an IT hygiene issue; it is a business integrity issue. Digital growth without identity discipline produces what many now call identity debt—a compounding liability that quietly inflates breach impact, audit cost, and operational fragility. Like financial debt, it remains hidden until a crisis forces repayment, often at the worst possible moment.

Identity debt accumulates through unchecked automation, unmanaged service accounts, excessive privileges, and the proliferation of machine identities. It is the silent cost of digital acceleration without governance maturity.

The Strategic Choice Ahead

We are now at a decisive moment. Organisations must determine whether identity governance will remain a legacy compliance artefact or evolve into a living control system fit for cloud‑native, AI‑augmented enterprises. Tools will continue to matter, but posture matters more. Control can no longer be assumed, inherited, or inferred. It must be proven—continuously, credibly, and at scale.

Identity governance has not failed. It has simply outgrown its original frame. The organisations that recognise this early will not only reduce breach risk but will also govern digital growth with confidence. Those that do not will discover, too late, that identity is where modern risk accumulates fastest—and where recovery is most expensive.

 

By Professor Ojo Emmanuel Ademola is the first African Professor of Cybersecurity and Information Technology Management, Global Education Advocate, Chartered Manager, UK Digital Journalist, Strategic Advisor & Prophetic Mobiliser for National Transformation, and General Evangelist of CAC Nigeria and Overseas

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